Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000153 0.000169 0.000187 0.000207 0.000230 0.000255 0.000284
2025-04-20 0.000122 0.000146 0.000174 0.000208 0.000251 0.000302 0.000367
2025-04-27 0.000105 0.000133 0.000167 0.000212 0.000273 0.000350 0.000457
2025-05-04 0.000092 0.000121 0.000158 0.000212 0.000286 0.000386 0.000536
2025-05-11 0.000083 0.000113 0.000153 0.000214 0.000301 0.000427 0.000625
2025-05-18 0.000074 0.000105 0.000147 0.000212 0.000311 0.000460 0.000706
2025-05-25 0.000068 0.000098 0.000141 0.000210 0.000320 0.000491 0.000787
2025-06-01 0.000062 0.000091 0.000135 0.000207 0.000326 0.000518 0.000866
2025-06-08 0.000055 0.000084 0.000127 0.000200 0.000324 0.000531 0.000922
2025-06-15 0.000052 0.000081 0.000125 0.000203 0.000338 0.000573 0.001034
2025-06-22 0.000050 0.000078 0.000125 0.000207 0.000355 0.000621 0.001166
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000074 0.000119 0.000202 0.000355 0.000639 0.001241
2025-07-06 0.000041 0.000067 0.000111 0.000192 0.000346 0.000640 0.001285
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000064 0.000108 0.000192 0.000356 0.000682 0.001424
2025-07-20 0.000037 0.000063 0.000108 0.000196 0.000374 0.000740 0.001612
2025-07-27 0.000035 0.000060 0.000105 0.000195 0.000383 0.000780 0.001764
2025-08-03 0.000033 0.000058 0.000103 0.000197 0.000397 0.000834 0.001961
2025-08-10 0.000031 0.000055 0.000101 0.000196 0.000404 0.000873 0.002128
2025-08-17 0.000029 0.000053 0.000098 0.000194 0.000410 0.000911 0.002301
2025-08-24 0.000027 0.000051 0.000095 0.000191 0.000413 0.000943 0.002464
2025-08-31 0.000025 0.000047 0.000090 0.000185 0.000407 0.000950 0.002559
2025-09-07 0.000025 0.000046 0.000089 0.000187 0.000422 0.001013 0.002830
2025-09-14 0.000024 0.000046 0.000089 0.000191 0.000440 0.001088 0.003159